There are projections that world population will reach 12 billion by 2050 is off. They simply extrapolate current levels of fertility, yet as we’ve seen, fertility rates are rapidly declining. The 2002 revision of the United Nations’ World Population Prospects’ median variant trend projects a world population of 8.9 billion by 2050. Given the rapidly falling global fertility rates, the low variant trend is more likely—and that projects a world population topping out at 7.5 billion by 2040, then beginning to decline. Perhaps Malthusianism will finally decline along with fertility rates. read more >>>
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